Free MOOC course at openHPI.de: Introduction to Bayesian Data Analysis (starts 25 Jan 2023)

 Details here: https://open.hpi.de/courses/bayesian-statistics2023

New paper in Journal of Memory and Language: Share the code, not just the data

Here is an important paper for the field of psycholionguistics that just came out in JML. It is led by Dr. Anna Laurinavichyute and was commissioned by the editor of JML (Prof. Kathy Rastle).

Share the code, not just the data: A case study of the reproducibility of articles published in the Journal of Memory and Language under the open data policy

Download here: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jml.2022.104332

Summer School “Methods in Language Sciences” (16-20 August 2022, Ghent, Belgium): Registrations open

I was asked to advertise this summer school (I will be teaching a 2.5 day course on linear mixed modeling, and will give a keynote lecture on the use of Bayesian methods in linguistics/psychology). The text below is from the organizers.

Summer School “Methods in Language Sciences” 2022:

Registrations are open

Top quality research requires outstanding methodological skills. That is why the Department

of Linguistics and the Department of Translation, Interpreting and Communication of Ghent

University will jointly organize the (second edition of the) Summer School “Methods in

Language Sciences” on 16-20 August 2022.

This Summer School is targeted at both junior and senior researchers and offers nine multi-

day modules on various topics, ranging from quantitative to qualitative methods and

covering introductory and advanced statistical analysis, Natural Language Processing

(NLP), eye-tracking, survey design, ethnographic methods, as well as specific tools such

as PRAAT and ELAN. In 2022 we have a new module on Linear Mixed Models. All lecturers

are internationally recognized experts with a strong research and teaching background.

Because the modules will partly be held in parallel sessions, participants have to choose one

or two modules to follow (see the  Programme  for details). No prerequisite knowledge or

experience is required, except for Modules 2 and 9, which deal with advanced statistical data

analysis.

We are proud to welcome two keynote speakers at this year’s summer school: Shravan

Vasishth and Crispin Thurlow, who both also act as lecturers.

This is your opportunity to take your methodological skills for research in (applied)

linguistics, translation or interpreting studies to the next level. We are looking forward to

meeting you in Ghent!

Ever wondered how the probability of the null hypothesis being true changes given a significant result?

TRIGGER WARNING: These simulations might fundamentally shake your belief system. USE WITH CARE.

In a recently accepted paper in the open access journal Quantitative Methods for Psychology that Daniel Schad led, we discuss how, using Bayes' rule, one can explore the change in the probability of a null hypothesis being true (call it theta) when you get a significant effect. The paper, which was inspired by a short comment in McElreath's book (first edition), shows that theta does not necessarily change much even if you get a significant result. The probability theta can change dramatically under certain conditions, but those conditions are either so stringent or so trivial that it renders many of the significance-based conclusions in psychology and psycholinguistics questionable at the very least.

You can do your own simulations, under assumptions that you consider more appropriate for your own research problem, using this shiny app (below), or play with the source code: here.